Professional / Fantasy

Fantasy Forecast: Tailored tips for multiple formats, Zurich Classic

Jason Day
Jason Day (Getty Images)

Welcome to the Wednesday gaming column! This week: the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.

Each week, I’ll put my angles, theories and lineups in here for you to peruse, copy, fade or argue.

Don’t forget to join the conversation @GolfweekMag, @GolfweekFantasy, @MikeGlasscott or send your questions to [email protected]

For all fantasy games I play as @MikeGlasscott or MikeGlasscott so I’m not hiding from anyone! Gamers, don’t forget, I reserve the right to change any lineup at any time based on changes in weather, tee times, illness or whatever.

Jason Day begins Saturday at the 2016 RBC Heritage tied for the lead.
Jason Day / Getty Images

DraftKings

DraftKings has plenty of ways to join the action weekly in a salary-cap-format game. Gamers pick six players on a budget of $50,000 and hope they make the cut and go low. Each week I’ll list the players who I think have the most value and give examples of potential lineups. Player values are established by DraftKings.

Last week: As one of my readers (JP) pointed out, the pieces are there but the puzzle isn’t getting put together. That’s what happens when you have Reed, Hoffman, Palmer, Summerhays, Steele and Garnett spread over two teams instead of one. Let’s see what’s good this week.

My lineup this week

  • Jason Day ($12,500): Love how he rallied at Harbour Town after 79; his recent taste of winning is too much to ignore. Oh, and he made 26 birdies last year finishing T-4.
  • Cameron Tringale ($8,600): Leaning on his course form (33 under in his last seven rounds) and ignoring recent disappointing results.
  • Jamie Donaldson ($7,600): Top 21 or better in his last three on Tour plus second in strokes gained-putting.
  • David Hearn ($7,500): Big finish at Valero should fire him up on a course where he always plays well (6 for 6 in cuts made; T-6 in ’15).
  • Bryce Molder ($7,000): Was in line to back up his T-6 at RBC Heritage before a final-round 75 derailed him last week.
  • Morgan Hoffman ($6,700): Please let it rain all week so him and Day can drive on by. Opened with 65 at SHO, finished T-23 at RBC so it’s close.

Plan B

Similarly priced players to swap in and out if the folks above don’t move the meter.

  • Billy Horschel ($10,300): I don’t believe in ghosts but I love a good voodoo jinx. Former winners here have never finished better than T-18 the next year so Horschel gets the nod over Rose. Man, that was hard to type.
  • Daniel Berger ($10,100): Long-term investors held their collective breath as he almost broke his arm/wrist/fingers smashing against a boulder in Match Play. He’s since finished T-5 at SHO and T-10 in his first Masters. Oh, and he was T-6 here last year. #EveryFormat
  • Chris Kirk ($9,800): Loves making birdies as evidenced by 19 of them last week at a tough Valero. Expecting a huge week on a course where they go in for fun.
  • David Toms ($6,700): Need all six to make the cut, right? This is his hometown event and has a streak of eight in a row here. Paying for a cut made.
  • Spencer Levin ($6,700): Some of the easier greens on Tour will help and he’s trending in the right direction. Tough call at this price between him and Darren Andrew.
  • Scott Stallings ($6,400): Loading up on top means finding value down here. Rolled in 26 birdies last year plus got after the final three rounds at Valero last time out (9 under).

Gut shots

  • D.A. Points ($6,700): He’s 38 under over the last three years.
  • D.H. Lee ($5,900): Made three cuts in a row here and was T-8 in 2013.
Daniel Berger / Getty Images

One and done

Each week, I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow, it’s up to you.

Gamers who are new to OAD must remember that the most lucrative purses – the majors, WGC events, The Players and FedEx Cup Playoffs – are down the road and you’ll need to save some big boys for these events, all 12 of them.

2015-16 season

Season total: $4,185,774; 24 events

  • Wins: 2
  • Seconds: 0
  • Thirds: 1
  • Top 10s: 6
  • Top 25s: 12
  • MC: 2 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO)

Last week: Charley Hoffman (win; $1,116,000). Nothing like a birdie putt on the final hole to lift the trophy! My five finalists last week finished T-9, second, win, T-13 and T-13. Looks easy, right? Definitely not, but it is fun when guys perform how we think they should.

Keys this week

  • Pound GIR
  • Par breakers
  • Patience as the weather looks dire
  • Par-5 scoring

My five finalists

  • 1. Jason Day
  • 2. Justin Rose
  • 3. Billy Horschel
  • 4. Smylie Kaufman
  • 5. Daniel Berger

The choice: Daniel Berger

Close second: The rest of them, but it would be Horschel

Long shot special: Cameron Tringale

Verdict: Berger’s form and history meet, which usually scares me to death, but his ball-striking and easy greens make sense. Day and Rose can be used anywhere and Horschel hasn’t fired since his win back in 2013. Kaufman’s “return” after #SB2K16 makes for interesting watching as he’s the new hometown hero. And he shot 61 to win on Sunday on an easy Las Vegas track.

Justin Rose is listed at 25-1 odds to win the 2016 Masters.
Justin Rose / Getty Images

Avis PGA Tour game

Each week, I’ll trot out guys who I believe who fit the course, the game and the road map, plus add some substitutes. Four starters are supported by two bench players each week. Remember, once a player tees off in your lineup he burns a start, so make sure you need to sub out instead of want to sub out.

2016

  • Tournament points (Valero): 1,175
  • Tournament rank: 2,425
  • Season points: 20,241
  • Season rank: 531

You’ll learn a few things about me each week in this column. This week’s lesson is taking horses to water but not making them drink. Games, like this one, who involve daily substitution options, I am terrible at playing. I’ll give you my best four starters and two bench options but it’s up to you to outguess me on which rounds they should sit or play.

My roster

This is the first week of Segment 3, which will run through the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational that begins on the last day of June. This swing will involve the following events:

  • Valero Texas Open
  • Zurich Classic of New Orleans
  • Wells Fargo (Quail Hollow, Charlotte)
  • The Players (TPC Sawgrass)
  • AT&T Byron Nelson (Dallas)
  • Dean and Deluca Invitational (Colonial)
  • Memorial (Jack’s place)
  • FedEx St. Jude Classic (Memphis)
  • U.S. Open (Oakmont, the hardest course on the planet)
  • Quicken Loans National (Congressional, another very difficult track and former site of U.S. Opens)
  • WGC-Bridgestone Invitational

The WDs are already coming in lieu of fixture congestion thanks to the Rio Olympics. Jason Day announced this week he’s out of the AT&T Byron Nelson, site of his first Tour victory. That will help us in this game as it will open up another start. Rory McIlroy announced he’s not playing WGC-Bridgestone Invitational so there’s another one for him, if he uses it, as well. Watch my Twitter or mikeglasscott.com for updates on who WDs where.

Last week: I had three of the top six scoring players last week but beautifully mismanaged the days they played. And two rounds of Jimmy Walker didn’t help either but still a very solid week as Hoffman, Reed and Grace, subbed out for DeChambeau at the last minute,  did what was expected.

This week

Fearsome foursome

  • Jason Day
  • Justin Rose
  • Daniel Berger
  • Chris Kirk

Bench mob

  • David Hearn
  • Billy Horschel

Counter-programming

  • Rickie Fowler
  • Smylie Kaufman
  • Cameron Tringale
  • Jamie Lovemark
  • Jamie Donaldson
  • Patton Kizzire
Chris Kirk
Chris Kirk / Getty Images

Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

This is a limited-starts, season-long game. Only 10 plays per player per season. If you stick Spieth in on Sunday only this week, you burn a “start.” One round = one start, so be aware!

You are able to change your lineups before each round similar to the Avis PGA Tour game. Dissimilar to the Avis PGA Tour game, Yahoo! is based on scoring only. The only thing that matters is going low and finishing high.

Not everyone on your roster must play. There have been many weeks where I lock Spieth in on Thursday and let him ride all four rounds. This is legal and at times, such as the example above, encouraged.

Splitting tee times (early-late) is not only recommended, it’s encouraged so don’t be surprised if some “big-name” players are omitted each week.

@MikeGlasscott

  • Valero points: 162
  • Spring segment points: 656
  • Spring segment rank: 9,337
  • Season points: 2,617
  • Season rank: 2,617

Last week: Had the winner, fourth, and a pair of T-13s. Left Reed out to “save” him and was burned beyond recognition. Swung and missed with DeChambeau (no Grace) in Group C but a solid week saw me move up the charts.

This week

Group A

(season starts remaining in parentheses)

  • Chris Kirk (9)
  • Jason Day (9)

Fowler is the odd man out because his recent record here is less than exemplary. My love affair with Henley continues if you’re in need of a flier as once he lights up, he’s hard to cool down. I guess I can’t forget 24 under or whatever it was at Sony for his first win. That was on a par 70.

Group B

  • Justin Rose (7)
  • Morgan Hoffmann (10)
  • Cameron Tringale (9)
  • Charley Hoffman (7)

Hearn just missed out and could go in based on tee time balance. With weather in the area for most of the weekend, it won’t hurt to have guys who can shorten the course by smashing it off the tee. Herd thins quickly in here.

Group C

  • Billy Horschel (10)
  • Daniel Berger (10)

Another tough week in Group C as Kaufman should get plenty of attention this week. I’ll lean on Horschel’s cuts made streak and Berger checks all the boxes. Boo Weekley makes an excellent outsider here as does Luke List.

Fore!

Head to Golfweek.com for my entire archive as history never gets historical. Shoot any questions and follow along at @GolfweekMag, @GolfweekFantasy and @MikeGlasscott to stay in tune!

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