Professional / Fantasy

Fantasy Forecast: The Players Championship, tailored tips for multiple formats

Sergio Garcia
Sergio Garcia (Getty Images)

Welcome to the Wednesday gaming column!

The Players Championship

Each week, I’ll put my angles, theories and lineups in here for you to peruse, copy, fade or argue.

Don’t forget to join the conversation @GolfweekMag, @GolfweekFantasy, @MikeGlasscott or send your questions to [email protected]

For all fantasy games, I play as @MikeGlasscott or MikeGlasscott so I’m not hiding from anyone! Gamers, don’t forget, I reserve the right to change any lineup at any time based on changes in weather, tee times, illness or whatever.

• • •

Daily Fantasy Sports

DraftKings has plenty of ways to join the action weekly in a salary-cap-format game. Gamers pick six players on a budget of $50,000 and hope they make the cut and go low. Each week I’ll list the players who I think have the most value and give examples of potential lineups.

DraftKings

Select six players who fit into the $50,000 salary cap maximum at DraftKings.com. Player values are established by DraftKings.

Last Week at WFC: Tasty bits with McIlroy, Mickelson, Glover and Reed on squad one and Rose, Matsuyama, Berger and Varner III on squad two.

But:
Broke Ogilvy’s streak of cuts at Quail at 11.
Broke DL3’s streak of cuts on Tour at 10.
Broke Streelman’s run of three T-14s or better at Quail.
Webb Simpson, a member who finished T-2 last year, couldn’t make the weekend.

Click here for last week’s column to check out ALL the selections

My lineup this week:

Rory McIlroy ($11,700): Best ball-striker in the field, easy choice.

Sergio Garcia ($9,900): Nobody with more rounds in the 60s over the last decade.

Billy Horschel ($8,200): Cut-making machine with local ties, knowledge.

Chris Kirk ($7,800): Current form smashing directly into course form; led after 54-holes last year.

Jhonattan Vegas ($6,300): Smashes it and finds plenty of GIR; T-7 in ’12.

David Hearn ($6,100): No misses in four tries; best value on the board.

Plan B

Similarly priced players to swap in and out if the folks above don’t move the meter.

Jason Day ($11,100): Just nicks Jordan Spieth here but he’s healthy and dialed in.

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,700): Better each time and current form suggests big things this week.

Branden Grace ($8,600): Backed up his win at a tough, ball-striking at Harbour Town with T-9 at another venue with tough greens to hit, TPC San Antonio.

Russell Knox ($7,600): Quick study here and T-2 at Harbour Town; local yokel as well.

John Senden ($6,800): Plenty of experience to lean on and has had a very solid spring.

Bryce Molder ($6,200): I’ll gamble on $6k players, not $9k or higher players.

Gut Shots

One ping. One ping only

Chris Stroud ($5,800): Likes it here and has been percolating the last few months.

Steve Wheatcroft ($5,500): First-timer but has been rattling off weekends on Tour plus lives locally.

One-and-done

Each week I painfully writhe and wretch trying to figure out the proper strategy to find a player that will hit the top 10. Wins are great but aren’t likely, so I’m satisfied with having a chance to hit the big money. Missed cuts are absolutely the death in this game, but even the surest of things don’t always happen in the reality world of fantasy golf. Remember, fade or follow; it’s up to you.

Gamers who are new to OAD must remember that the most lucrative purses, the majors, WGC events and FedExCup Playoffs, are down the road, and you’ll need to save some big boys for these events, all 12 of them.

2015-16 season

Season total: $4,267,272; 26 events

Wins: 2
Seconds: 0
Thirds: 1
Top 10s: 6
Top 25s: 13
MC: 2 (Mickelson, FIO; Oosthuizen, SHO)

Last week: J.B. Holmes (T-53; $16,589)

My second choice finished T-28. McIlroy, Mickelson and Fowler all finished T-4. Only had McIlroy of those three but I’m glad I waited.

Thermometer:
Kicked squarely in the golf bag BUT BUT BUT at least I didn’t have to watch McIlroy lift the trophy and live with that regret.

Keys this Week:
Experience
Stud ball-strikers
Strokes-gained: tee-to-green

My Five Finalists:

1.) Rory McIlroy
2.) Sergio Garcia
3.) Henrik Stenson
4.) Hideki Matsuyama
5.) Jason Day

The Choice: Rory McIlroy
Close Second: Sergio Garcia
Long Shot Special: Chris Kirk

Verdict: Garcia is the perfect solution for most gamers this week. He’s playing well plus he rakes at TPC Sawgrass but, and there’s always a BUT with him, he doesn’t win enough. I’m going-for-broke this week with the best ball-striker on the planet who has been rounding into form. With the winner’s share of almost $2 million, he’s the simple choice. Garcia is the pick for leaders or top-level guys looking to maintain and use McIlroy down the road. Big field means big choices, so there are plenty of “sneaky” options as well. Kirk sticks out like a sore thumb.

AVIS PGA Tour Game

Each week, I’ll trot out guys who I believe who fit the course, the game and the road map, plus add some substitutes. Four starters are supported by two bench players each week. Remember, once a player tees off in your lineup he burns a start, so make sure you need to sub out instead of want to sub out.

@MikeGlasscott 2015 finish: 332nd

2016
Tournament Points (WFC): 1,114
Tournament Rank: 4,304
Season Points: 22,424
Season Rank: 472

You’ll learn a few things about me each week in this column. This week’s lesson is taking horses to water but not making them drink. Games, like this one, who involve daily substitution options, I am terrible at playing. I’ll give you my best four starters and two bench options, but it’s up to you to outguess me on which rounds they should sit or play.

My roster

This is the fourth week of Segment 3 which will run through the WGC-BI which begins on the last day of June. This swing will involve the following events — course — winner

  • The Players — TPC Sawgrass — Rickie Fowler
  • AT&T Byron Nelson — TPC Four Seasons, Dallas — Steven Bowditch
  • Colonial — Ft. Worth — Chris Kirk
  • Memorial — Dublin, OH — David Lingmerth
  • FESJC — TPC Southwind, Memphis — Fabian Gomez
  • U.S. Open — Oakmont, the hardest course on the planet –Angel Cabrera, 2007
  • QLN — Congressional, another very difficult track and former site of U.S. OpenS, plural — Justin Rose, last time at Congressional, 2014
  • WGC-Bridgestone Invitational — Firestone South — opposite of the French Open on the European Tour — Shane Lowry

Coming Up:

The WDs are already coming in lieu of fixture congestion thanks to the Rio Olympics.

Jason Day — AT&T Byron Nelson
Rory McIlroy — WGC-Bridgestone Invitational
Bubba Watson — he WILL play the Travelers Championship

If you have any specific questions or want more info, hit me up on Twitter (@MikeGlasscott), [email protected] or mikeglasscott.com.

Last Week

Too much dead weight from Holmes and Rodgers resulted in a slight tick upwards. With Chris Stroud and Fabian Gomez in the perfect team of six with Roberto Castro and James “Ocho Misso” Hahn, I doubt I was alone in scratching my head at the end of the week.

This Week

Fearsome foursome
Rory McIlory
Rickie Fowler
Sergio Garcia
Jordan Spieth

Bench mob
Kevin Na
Henrik Stenson

Counter-programming

PLENTY to choose from this week

Patrick Reed
Adam Scott
Zach Johnson
Chris Kirk
Russell Knox
Branden Grace

Yahoo! Fantasy Golf

This is a limited-starts, season-long game. Only 10 plays per player per season. If you stick Spieth in on Sunday only this week, you burn a “start.” One round = one start, so be aware!

You are able to change your lineups before each round similar to the Avis PGA Tour game. Dissimilar to the Avis PGA Tour game, Yahoo! is based on scoring only. The only thing that matters is going low and finishing high.

Not everyone on your roster must play. There have been many weeks where I lock Spieth in on Thursday and let him ride all four rounds. This is legal and at times, such as the example above, encouraged.

Splitting tee times (early-late) is not only recommended, it’s encouraged so don’t be surprised if some “big-name” players are omitted each week.

@MikeGlasscott

Points: WFC: 146
Points: SPRING Segment: 912
Rank: SPRING Segment: 6,904
Points: SEASON: 2,873
Rank: SEASON: 2,330

Last week

Got the Group A Mickelson-Fowler choice wrong ALL FOUR DAYS. That should have an award in itself. ALL. FOUR. DAYS. I don’t want to even know how many points I left out there. Another reason this game drives me insane! Moved up a few but it could have been better. That’s going to be the title of my first book, a coloring book, about fantasy golf: It Could Have Been Better.

WHO WANTS TO RESERVE THEIR COPY?!?!?

This week

Group A
season starts remaining in (  )

Sergio Garcia (10)
Jason Day (8)

Remember, this a SCORING format. Might not need any help for Garcia this week if he goes to form but there are PLENTY of choices. Leaders should play it safe and chalky.  Folks looking to make up ground if the chalk stumbles might take a look at birdie machine Russell Henley or wild card Justin Thomas, who made 10 birdies here in ONE ROUND last year. Good luck guessing which round…

Group B:
Rory McIlroy (5)
Hideki Matsuyama (6)
Henrik Stenson (6)
Zach Johnson (9)

Took all of my energy to keep Hearn out but I’m going chalky-chalk. They’ll be plenty of time for fliers when these guys run out of starts.

Group C:
Kevin Na (7)
Branden Grace (10)

Again, will a field of this magnitude, splitting hairs is what it’s all about. Easily 10 more could have been rostered, but I’m mixing (power) and matching (short-game) here.

FORE!

Head to Golfweek.com for my entire archive as history never gets historical!

Shoot any questions and follow along at @GolfweekMag, @GolfweekFantasy and @MikeGlasscott to stay in tune!

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