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From picks to win to DraftKings bargains to players to avoid, here are some options for you to consider:
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- Projected champion: Ryan Moore. Third last year, fifth the year before that. Drives the ball very well, and like the way he can scramble at a place where par means something.
- Also like: Gary Woodland. Playing third week in a row, but a past champion here and playing quite well, with four top-6 finishes this season. Also like Charles Howell III. Owns four top 10s at Copperhead, and has been T-14 or better in each of the last three seasons.
- Sleeper: Steve Stricker. A part-timer, yes, but still better than most. Has a nice record at Valspar, and never seems too far off with his golf game.
- DraftKings bargain: Adam Hadwin ($6,800). Has already contended to win this season (CareerBuilder) and has played very steady.
- Fade: Kyle Stanley. After finishing third here in 2011, has teed it up five times and missed the cut each time.
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- Projected champion: Bill Haas. Not great in Mexico but not bad, either. Had six straight top 20s on Tour before that. This is a course that fits him well, which explains his P-2 here last year.
- Also like: Graham DeLaet and Kevin Na. Two guys who have been turning their games around as of late and who have good records at Innisbrook.
- Sleeper: Ollie Schniederjans. Has made seven straight cuts on Tour and this is one of the courses that he’s seen before. I expect him to break out very soon and contend for his first Tour title.
- DraftKings bargain: Scott Brown ($6,700). I don’t think you’ll have to go too deep this week considering the strength of field, but if you want Justin Thomas or Henrik Stenson then Brown is a good option. He’s made eight straight weekends on Tour and was T-7 last year at Innisbrook.
- Fade: Bubba Watson. Not playing well and this is not a course where he can miss fairways.
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- Projected champion: Bill Haas. Lost in a playoff here last year and his form was impeccable prior to Mexico.
- Also like: Jason Dufner. Top 25s in his last three starts on Tour and in his last five starts at this event. Best finish in latter span is T-10, but expect him to contend this time.
- Sleeper: Patrick Cantlay. Why not? Yes, a lot of rust to still kick off, but he looked pretty good at Pebble Beach with a top-50 finish in his first competitive start in three years. Really big talent at a low price.
- DraftKings bargain: Brian Stuard ($7,000). A couple of nice finishes of late (T-16 in Phoenix, T-27 at Honda). He’s missed his last two cuts at Valspar, but that’s a small sample size. This is a good course for him, and that’ll become apparent this week.
- Fade: Charley Hoffman. His T-4 at the Genesis Open doesn’t mask the fact that he’s struggled since winning the Valero Texas Open last April. Avoid him until he proves that performance at Riviera wasn’t a fluke.