Men’s magic number update
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
There haven’t been many upsets yet in men’s conference championship play. Yes, Georetown’s victory was an upset, but the Big East Conference was down this year, so the Hoyas did not take a spot away from the at-large pool.
Towson won the Colonial, bettering league favorites Virginia Commonwealth and UNC-Wilmington, and may end up reducing the magic number by one. VCU and UNC-Wilmington are on the bubble from this league and right now you have think one will get in. So, I will factor this league’s AQ as a spot away from the at-larges.
Other than that we have see nothing else to date - which is a very good thing for those many teams on the bubble.
In regards to the .500 Rule, congrats to all of you coaches who have figured it out. See, it really was not that bad. I told you numerous times that all you had to do was adjust your schedule and you would have no problem.
UCF was the only team inside the Golfweek/Sagarin top 70 starting the week with a head-to-head winning percentage less than .500. But the Knights won the Conference-USA Championship Tuesday and pushed their won-loss-tie percentage above .500. It’s highly unlikely any teams will fall victim to the .500 Rule for the first time in the three years with this guideline.
Two years ago, in the first year of the .500 Rule, four teams were left out of the postseason: Arizona, Vanderbilt, Northwestern and Minnesota. Last year Auburn missed out.
With no teams teams under .500 and if we see no more Cinderellas, the magic number right now would be 71. I would not bet on that, however.
We still have a few conferences where the favorite has to win:
- Atlantic 10: Charlotte
- Big West: UC Irvine
- WAC: Fresno State
On Wednesday, many teams of those bubble teams will be pulling hard for Middle Tennessee State to hold on at the Sun Belt and Southeastern Louisiana to win the Southland Conference.
I will stick with my original magic number prediction of 69.